Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee, I am pleased to have the
opportunity to testify before you today on over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives
and hedge funds. Although I cannot offer particular testimony on the progress
of the studies on these subjects being conducted by the President's Working
Group, I am happy to offer my perspectives as a former member of the Board
of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and as former Chairman of the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). I might mention that this
is the first time I have testified on CFTC matters since leaving the Commission
in 1987, except as representing the Federal Reserve Board during my tenure
as Member. Today, I represent no one but myself.
I believe that the questions and issues that are raised by OTC derivatives
and hedge funds are best examined within the context of the economic function
of futures and options markets on physical commodities, their historical
development as well as the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA). Futures and options
are contracts to accomplish price risk management, including but not limited
to the traditional functions of hedging and risk assumption or speculation.
Other risk management functions which can involve futures and options as
well as other derivative transactions include cash and liquidity management,
portfolio management and even facilitation of various investment or capital
formation strategies. Deep and liquid exchange trading of futures and options
on physical commodities also provides the valuable function of centralized
price discovery for the underlying cash commodity. That is, as internationally
dispersed market participants actively buy and sell futures contracts,
the market price for the commodity on both current (or spot) and future
terms is "discovered". This pricing function along with risk transfer capabilities
are the attributes that have traditionally made futures exchanges not only
economically viable, but also appropriate for federal oversight, some might
even say federal protection. To the extent that exchange risk management
or price discovery mechanisms break down, the pricing capability for basic
cash commodities is impaired, thereby interrupting the pricing efficiency
of agriculture or commerce.
Financial futures and options provide many of the same economic functions
as physical commodity futures and options, but there are some major differences.
First, because financial futures and options generally have actively traded
cash markets, cash prices are generally not discovered in the futures market.
In fact, futures contracts are often settled from cash or indexes of cash
prices.
A second major difference between financial and physical commodity futures
contracts which particularly bears on the issue of need for federal oversight
is the delivery or settlement process. A particularly useful function of
exchanges is the facilitation and oversight of contract expirations and
the related settlement, delivery or exchange of physicals for futures (EFP).
Exchanges not only set the terms of delivery, but also oversee the actual
delivery as well as the credit verification of members making or taking
delivery. In addition, exchanges perform other financial services related
to trading, delivery, clearing, credit extension, margining and collateral.
For financial derivatives transactions, exchange delivery mechanisms or
oversight are less necessary and can be alternatively accomplished through
other institutions or inter-institutional arrangements. I believe this
largely explains the growth of OTC financial derivatives. Indeed, since
delivery or contract close-out occurs by financial transactions similar
to other ordinary commercial payments, no special oversight, facility or
federal protection is necessary. To take the argument a step further, exchange
traded futures and options could also be considerably deregulated.
My recollection of particular challenges during my tenure as CFTC Chairman
relates to physical commodity deliveries; for example, corners, squeezes,
or other types of manipulations, supply distortions, delivery bottlenecks
or natural disasters. Although I will not dispute the possibility
that supply distortions could occur with financial contract deliveries,
the chance is much smaller. Moreover, alternative or substitute arrangements
can be made more easily since the delivery mechanism is cash or marketable
securities.
A third distinction between physical commodity and financial derivative
markets is that the participants in the latter are often otherwise supervised
or regulated by the banking agencies or the Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC). If those supervisory structures provide adequate protection, then
duplicative market (or functional) and institutional oversight are not
both necessary.
I might mention that the supervisory or regulatory approach of the banking
agencies has been somewhat reoriented in recent years to adjust to a revised
legislative and regulatory framework which contemplates additional powers
and broader geographical scope. In addition, adjustments have been made
to accommodate enhanced financial theory and technological capabilities
which render the use of derivative transactions and risk management internal
control models quite practical and economically viable. The speed at which
transactions can occur means that market participants can change their
positions quickly and can make or lose money in large amounts fairly quickly.
Recognizing these changed circumstances, the banking agencies have moved
to make the supervisory process more reliant on risk-adjusted capital adequacy
and transparency. To the extent that both parties adequately assess, price
and capitalize their risk positions, all transactions will be better informed
and more efficiently priced. The SEC has always relied on transparency
as the backbone of its regulatory structure.
I hasten to point out that not all market participants are directly
regulated or supervised. In many cases, participation by an unregulated
entity either in regulated markets or with a regulated entity as counterparty
does mean that the protection of regulation is available indirectly. But
the best protection may well be adequate disclosure and market discipline.
The "sharp pencil" on the other side of the transaction may provide the
best protection possible for the integrity of the transaction. In fact,
bank supervisors are coming to recognize the most effective form of supervision
relies on disclosure, risk-adjusted capital and the risk assessment and
risk management systems of the participants. That case-by-case risk analysis
by market participants is likely to be more effective than arbitrary ratios
or balance sheet limitations which can become dated very quickly or not
take into account the firm's total portfolio. Reliance on regulatory protections
can create the proverbial "moral hazard" and ultimately end up being an
ineffective way to protect the financial system. Absence of individual
firm responsibility (i.e., capital) can lead to "betting the bank" with
little financial consequence.
Of course, firms must develop their own risk management models and risk
assessment techniques with adequate stress testing involving assumptions
of wide interest rate moves, market volatility and liquidity. Relevant
input into the models and analysis must include an assessment of counterparty
risk. Specifically, how likely is default? If there is inadequate disclosure,
the transaction is at risk and if large enough, the firm or even system
can be at risk. Disclosure, capitalization and market discipline remain
the key protectors.
In view of the globalization of the markets and increasingly open avenues
of international trade, care must be given to assure that a domestic regulatory
structure does not simply chase the business off shore. Technology and
ease of financial transactions make this possibility even more likely.
With that background, I would now like to examine some of the CEA issues
related to OTC financial derivatives and hedge funds. The CFTC has considerable
latitude in interpreting the Commodity Exchange Act. In fact, I have always
believed that the Act was somewhat broadly written so that regulators could
interpret the Act in light of changing and developing markets. A certain
amount of over-the-counter activity has always been tolerated, even encouraged,
as facilitating agriculture and commerce. In almost every market imaginable,
some kind of forward market activity facilitates production and distribution
management. In agriculture, the concept of forward contracts for farmers
is well known with entities further up the distribution chain fully utilizing
the futures markets to hedge or manage the price risk associated with their
forward positions. Other markets have various kinds of forward contracting
conventions, and many utilize futures to manage that risk. In general,
I think exchanges have supported these arrangements, because eventually
the activity results in exchange business. Exchanges have particular challenges
in developing financial derivative business because of the ease of contracting
and settling in an inter-institutional or off exchange basis. But I am
confident with their history of creativity and innovativeness that exchanges
will find ways to compete. As mentioned above, a revised regulatory structure
could assist in this process.
Although there are no precise definitions of allowable forward or even
OTC activity in the CEA, I have always believed that Congress looked to
the regulators to interpret allowable activity in a way which would facilitate
trade, commerce and, of course, agriculture. During my own tenure at the
CFTC, Congress supported leverage transactions, which were essentially
OTC futures contracts in precious metals. Letters were also written by
the General Counsel with the approval of the Commission indicating that
no enforcement action would be taken to prohibit certain kinds of hybrid
securities containing futurity or optionality features with the full knowledge
and tacit approval of the Commission's Congressional oversight committees.
Although OTC financial derivatives were only a gleam in the eye of some
enterprising financial engineers during my tenure at the Commission, it
was clear they were coming. In fact, just before I left the Commission,
I set up an internal staff committee to study and make recommendations
to the full Commission on issues relating to developing financial OTC products.
As a general matter, my own view was to allow experimentation via "no-action"
letters, and then pursue safe harbour regulations (or even legislation)
if the experimental activity proved economically viable and useful as a
risk management tool. Based on those criteria, financial derivatives deserve
to trade and deserve legal certainty.
During my tenure at the Federal Reserve System, I came to appreciate
the great potential of OTC derivative transactions as a means for banks
to manage interest rate, equity, credit and currency risk. Depository institutions
ultimately have developed very sophisticated risk management systems and
utilize both exchange-traded and OTC instruments quite successfully. As
mentioned earlier, the supervisory structure has had to be changed to accommodate
this new activity. Banks engage in derivative activities in a fashion similar
to other financial transactions. In view of the protections afforded via
the bank supervisory structure, it always seemed sensible to me to exempt
otherwise regulated entities from the CEA. Although I recognize that some
participants in the OTC derivatives market are not supervised, a large
portion are and can exert market discipline through their own risk management
techniques, including requiring disclosure from derivatives counterparties.
In conclusion, I am quite sure there are many ways to interpret the
Commodity Exchange Act and I suspect that others would disagree with my
assertion that futures-style regulation of financial OTC derivatives is
unnecessary and exchange traded financial futures and options can be deregulated.
In many cases, the market participants of OTC derivatives are otherwise
regulated. Disclosure by unregulated OTC financial derivatives market participants
should be increased so that arms length transactions are effected with
adequate knowledge. Fully informed transaction opportunities maximize the
effectiveness of market discipline.
Thank you very much for your attention. I will try to respond to questions you may have.